The United States’ missile attack on a Syria-government airfield, analysts said, can be read as President Donald Trump sending this message about North Korea: “When I make a threat, I am serious about it.”
North Korea, which fired a ballistic missile into the sea one day before Trump’s summit meeting with China’s President Xi Jinping, was a top agenda for the first meeting between the leaders of the world’s two largest economies.
Analysts told CNBC after the attack on Syria that while the latest development replaced North Korea as the immediate security risk, it raises concerns surrounding the hermit nation to another level.
“I think it actually raises the importance of the North Korea issue. Remember Kim Jung Un recently used a nerve agent to assassinate his half brother, allegedly, in Malaysia, showing the U.S. it is willing to do military action unilaterally… I think it definitely raises the stakes for China in looking at what the states might do about North Korea,” David Dollar, senior fellow at the Brookings Institute, said on CNBC’s “Street Signs.”
“I don’t think it’s deliberately aimed at China but obviously the U.S. felt it didn’t need to wait until after that summit. They didn’t hesitate to do it in the middle of the summit so that’s sending a certain kind of message to Xi Jinping,” he added.
Reva Goujon, vice president of global analysis at Stratfor, noted that the Syria action signaled that Trump is “willing to take action” after wide speculations that he is a President that “is all bark and no action.”
“This is Trump saying ‘no, I am a man of my words. When I make a threat, I will follow through.’ That’s certainly something the Chinese and North Koreans will be thinking about,” she said on CNBC’s “Street Signs.”
Goujon said the biggest risk in the military action is having any casualties of soldiers or advisers from Russia on the battlefield, which will further strain the country’s relations with Moscow.
Sharing her sentiment, Dollar said the attack has resulted in a “very interesting twist” in the relationship between U.S. and Russia.
“Just a couple of weeks ago we were thinking that Trump might be building a better relationship with Russia and he was saying all kinds of very hostile things to China. And now, in the initial press reports out of Florida, he’s talking about his friendship with Xi Jinping and clearly this action in Syria is making Putin and Russia unhappy,” he said.
“The U.S. did warn the Russians about this. I think U.S. went out of its way not to hit any Russian forces but still, this is the kind of intervention that the Russians will be unhappy about.”